Market narrative research
Use this page when the work is research structure: map the story, separate believers from skeptics, identify what evidence would change the narrative, and decide which signal to watch next.
Prediction routing hub
Turn fresh events into MiroFish scenario runs.
Use this hub when a hot story creates a prediction question. Pick the nearest scenario path, prepare a compact event brief, run MiroFish, and publish only branches that remain useful after review.
How to use the hub
Pick the closest scenario path, prepare a compact event brief, open the console, and keep the final public answer focused on branches, assumptions, and the next signal to verify.
Hot-event brief template
Event: what changed today. Actors: who reacts. Material: the short note or public evidence. Horizon: when the reaction matters. Question: what branch would change the next action.
Choose the right prediction path
Public opinion analysis
Use this page before publishing a statement, announcement, policy note, product change, or crisis response that different audiences may read differently.
Scenario planning
Use this page for launches, pricing changes, policy moves, partnership choices, crisis plans, and operating decisions where several futures are plausible.
Trend forecasting
Use this page when a tool, meme, product category, market behavior, policy idea, or creator pattern starts moving but the adoption path is still unclear.
Sports event prediction
Use this page for match previews, fan analysis, newsroom prep, commentary planning, and post-news reaction mapping around a team or event.
Policy and campaign rehearsal
Use this page when the message will meet public scrutiny and the team needs to know which groups may support, resist, question, or reinterpret it.
Story-world and character simulation
Use this page when a story is stuck because character motives, faction behavior, or world rules create too many possible next scenes.
Common hot-event patterns
| Event pattern | Use this when |
|---|---|
| Brand crisis reaction | A statement is going live after a public complaint. Route to public opinion analysis. |
| Market catalyst narrative | A product, model, funding, or regulation update changes how a category is discussed. Route to market narrative research. |
| Policy rollout risk | A public decision may trigger support, opposition, and implementation questions. Route to policy campaign rehearsal. |
| Sports preview shift | Lineup or injury news changes the story before an event. Route to sports event prediction. |
| Fast trend signal | A behavior, tool, or phrase is spreading but durability is unclear. Route to trend forecasting. |
What to keep from every prediction run
Original event brief
Keep the exact text so later readers know what changed.
Actor list
Separate groups before running the simulation.
Branch map
Name plausible paths instead of one certain answer.
Next signal
Decide what real-world evidence would change the report.