What should I prepare for market narrative simulation?
Prepare the decision boundary, source notes, actor roles, known objections, timing, and the signals that would change the result.
Market Narrative Simulation
Market Narrative Simulation for evidence-led scenario rehearsal
Use MiroFish when how a market story may spread or reverse needs more than a one-shot answer. MiroFish uses seed material, named actors, reaction rounds, and structured reports; treat every run as decision support, not a guaranteed prediction.
Operating facts
Keep the limits visible before opening the console.
WorkflowMiroFish uses seed material, graph context, simulated narrative and amplifiers, interaction rounds, and structured reports for market narrative simulation.
Decision boundaryA market narrative simulation run is decision support, not a guaranteed prediction.
Useful inputThe first useful market narrative simulation run needs narrative, amplifiers, counter-signal, timing, constraints, and the strongest contrary signal.
Scenario angle
The useful question is where how a market story may spread or reverse breaks.
For market narrative simulation, the page is worth its own route because the reader needs a bounded rehearsal around narrative, amplifiers, counter-signal. Start by asking which role can change the story first, then keep that role visible through the report review.
Signals
Decide what would change the next run.
| Signal | Why it matters | Next action |
|---|---|---|
| Narrative repeats the same objection | The issue may be structural rather than wording. | Strengthen proof or change the decision. |
| Amplifiers reacts after one source changes | The path depends on a volatile fact. | Refresh the source before using the result. |
| Counter-signal blocks the path | The rollout may need sequencing. | Run a narrower check around how a market story may spread or reverse. |
Direct answer
Use this when the question depends on reactions, not only facts.
Market Narrative Simulation fits MiroFish when how a market story may spread or reverse could be changed by narrative, amplifiers, or counter-signal. The useful result is a branch map with weak assumptions and the next outside check, not a single confident verdict.
Evidence choice
Pick source material that can be challenged later.
The first run should include narrative, amplifiers, counter-signal, timing, constraints, and the strongest contrary signal. If a source is old, ambiguous, or politically loaded, mark it before running market narrative simulation so the report does not treat a weak claim as settled.
Branches
Test three paths instead of asking for one verdict.
Base pathhow a market story may spread or reverse follows the expected story.
Friction pathamplifiers reframes the decision and slows adoption.
Surprise pathamplifiers changing the interpretation of how a market story may spread or reverse becomes the dominant interpretation.
Source packet
Bring the material that makes the run inspectable.
Start with narrative, amplifiers, counter-signal, timing, constraints, and the strongest contrary signal. MiroFish works better when each claim can be traced back to a source or an explicit assumption, especially when the run is about how a market story may spread or reverse.
Good packet
how a market story may spread or reverse; one time horizon; named roles; known constraints; and at least three signals to review after the first report.
Outside check
Leave with one verification move, not a pile of guesses.
The best next step after a market narrative simulation run is to check narrative against counter-signal before treating the branch as useful. That keeps the simulation useful without pretending it measured the real world.
Console handoff
Open the console only after the brief is sharp.
Use the page to collect the scenario boundary, actor list, evidence packet, and validation signals. Then start the run and question the report before acting.
Review owner
Name the person who can say the branch is weak.
Before using market narrative simulation output, assign one reviewer to challenge narrative, one to challenge amplifiers, and one to decide whether counter-signal changes the next action.
FAQ
Market Narrative Simulation FAQ
Can market narrative simulation replace real evidence?
No. Use it to generate hypotheses, pressure points, and validation questions, then confirm important claims with real data or accountable review.
What does MiroFish return?
A structured report with reaction paths, weak assumptions, evidence gaps, and follow-up questions you can challenge.
When should I rerun it?
Rerun after changing one important assumption, such as the actor list, timing window, evidence strength, or public message.
Next paths